All Races
Senate Primary · June 4, 2025Decided

NJ-Senate

New Jersey Senate Democratic Primary

$4,500,000
Total AIPAC spending via 2 shell PACs

Candidates

Andy Kim
DemocratAIPAC-targeted
Won
Tammy Murphy
DemocratAIPAC-backed
Lost

Shell PACs Deployed

Garden State Forward$3.2M
Registered November 15, 2024 · Funded by United Democracy Project (AIPAC)

Ran ads boosting Murphy and attacking Kim on fiscal policy and electability in the general election.

New Jersey Families First$1.3M
Registered December 1, 2024 · Funded by United Democracy Project (AIPAC)

Funded mailers in suburban NJ counties questioning Kim's experience and positioning Murphy as the 'safer' choice.

Timeline

November 15, 2024'Garden State Forward' PAC registered with FEC, funded by UDP.
January 2025UDP begins TV ad campaign in New Jersey boosting Murphy's name recognition.
March 2025Kim secures wave of progressive endorsements. Polls show him leading.
April 7, 2025Tammy Murphy drops out of the race citing 'unwinnable math,' dealing a blow to AIPAC's investment.
June 4, 2025Kim wins the primary easily with no major opposition remaining.
November 2025Andy Kim wins the general election and is sworn in as New Jersey's junior senator.

The Story

The New Jersey Senate race was one of AIPAC's most notable failures in the 2025-2026 cycle. When Sen. Bob Menendez was forced out amid corruption charges, the open seat attracted both Rep. Andy Kim and First Lady Tammy Murphy. AIPAC backed Murphy through $4.5 million in shell PAC spending, primarily through "Garden State Forward" and "New Jersey Families First."

Kim, who had been critical of unconditional military aid to Israel, was UDP's target. But the spending backfired: Kim's grassroots campaign resonated with New Jersey Democrats, and when polls showed Murphy trailing badly, she dropped out in April 2025, effectively wasting AIPAC's investment. Kim went on to win the primary and the general election easily.

The New Jersey debacle demonstrated a key vulnerability in AIPAC's strategy: the lobby's preferred candidates still need to be viable on their own merits. When the underlying candidate is weak, no amount of shell PAC spending can manufacture a competitive race. It was a $4.5 million lesson in the limits of money in politics — and a blueprint for how grassroots energy can overcome institutional spending.